Hongg vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
26.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
HON
4 - 2
SCH
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
DIE
2 - 6
HON
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
OLT
2 - 1
HON
29%
24%
47%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
HON
3 - 1
SUB
83%
12%
5%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
PAJ
1 - 1
HON
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
OLT
1 - 1
AAR
31%
23%
46%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
AAR
2 - 1
SUB
88%
9%
4%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
PAJ
2 - 4
AAR
63%
18%
19%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
AAR
1 - 2
WOH
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
LIE
2 - 0
AAR
24%
21%
55%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -2 |