Hong Kong vs Tajikistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
64.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
CHN
1 - 2
HKG
87%
11%
3%
|
43 | 79 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
HKG
2 - 2
TKM
23%
23%
55%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
IRN
4 - 0
HKG
89%
9%
2%
|
43 | 89 | 46 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
BTN
2 - 0
HKG
12%
17%
71%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | -3 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
HKG
4 - 0
BTN
75%
15%
10%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Tajikistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
PAK
1 - 6
TJK
8%
16%
76%
|
60 | 29 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
TJK
1 - 1
JOR
21%
24%
55%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
MAS
0 - 2
TJK
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
SGP
0 - 2
TJK
25%
23%
53%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
KWT
2 - 1
TJK
63%
21%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |