Hong Kong vs Catar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
53.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2001 |
HKG
2 - 1
MAS
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2001 |
PLE
1 - 0
HKG
50%
23%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
QAT
2 - 0
HKG
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2001 |
MAS
2 - 0
HKG
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
HKG
1 - 1
PLE
59%
22%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Catar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2001 |
QAT
2 - 1
PLE
83%
13%
5%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2001 |
MAS
0 - 0
QAT
21%
25%
54%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
QAT
2 - 0
HKG
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2001 |
PLE
1 - 2
QAT
13%
22%
65%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
QAT
5 - 1
MAS
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |