Hong Kong vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
45.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1972 |
HKG
0 - 1
KHM
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1972 |
THA
2 - 2
HKG
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1972 |
KOR
0 - 0
HKG
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 1972 |
IDN
0 - 1
HKG
79%
13%
9%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 1972 |
SGP
1 - 4
HKG
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1973 |
JPN
4 - 0
VIE
77%
14%
10%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1972 |
JPN
2 - 2
KOR
49%
23%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1972 |
JPN
4 - 1
KHM
80%
12%
8%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 1972 |
IDN
1 - 0
JPN
53%
22%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 1972 |
PHL
1 - 4
JPN
33%
21%
46%
|
72 | 43 | 29 | 0 |