Hong Kong vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
59.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
KHM
1 - 1
HKG
21%
23%
57%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
HKG
0 - 2
TWN
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
MNG
1 - 5
HKG
12%
21%
67%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
HKG
0 - 0
PRK
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TWN
1 - 2
HKG
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
KOR
1 - 1
IRN
47%
27%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
IRN
5 - 0
SYR
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
IRN
0 - 3
JPN
44%
25%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
CHN
0 - 3
IRN
30%
27%
44%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
IRN
2 - 0
OMA
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | +1 |