Hong Kong vs Guam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
<0%
+6
6%
5-0
9.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
10.9%
4-0
14.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
16.8%
3-0
16.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
21%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.7%
5.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
5.7%
1.2%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0%
-1
1.1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2007 |
HKG
1 - 1
TWN
82%
12%
6%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
HKG
2 - 1
MAC
77%
14%
9%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2007 |
IDN
3 - 0
HKG
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
HKG
2 - 0
BGD
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
QAT
2 - 0
HKG
86%
11%
4%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
GUM
0 - 10
TWN
8%
16%
76%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
GUM
9 - 0
MNP
95%
5%
1%
|
21 | 6 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
MNP
2 - 3
GUM
1%
7%
92%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
KHM
3 - 0
GUM
64%
17%
19%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2006 |
GUM
0 - 3
BGD
19%
23%
59%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | -2 |