Hong Kong vs Philippines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2010 |
IND
0 - 1
HKG
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
HKG
0 - 0
YEM
37%
24%
39%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
HKG
0 - 2
CHN
8%
18%
74%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
JPN
3 - 0
HKG
90%
8%
2%
|
53 | 91 | 38 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
KOR
5 - 0
HKG
87%
11%
2%
|
53 | 90 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Philippines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
TWN
0 - 0
PHL
33%
23%
44%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
TKM
5 - 0
PHL
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
MDV
3 - 2
PHL
56%
20%
23%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
PHL
1 - 0
BTN
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2008 |
KHM
2 - 3
PHL
15%
18%
67%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |