Hong Kong vs Korea DPR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
58.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
HKG
4 - 2
TWN
80%
13%
7%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
HKG
3 - 2
GUM
82%
12%
6%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
HKG
2 - 0
SGP
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
KHM
0 - 2
HKG
20%
24%
56%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
HKG
4 - 2
KHM
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Korea DPR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
GUM
0 - 2
PRK
8%
18%
74%
|
75 | 28 | 47 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PRK
2 - 0
TWN
79%
15%
6%
|
75 | 32 | 43 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
PHL
1 - 3
PRK
18%
23%
59%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
VIE
5 - 2
PRK
23%
25%
52%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
PRK
2 - 0
UAE
35%
29%
36%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |