Hong Kong vs Bahrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
58.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
HKG
2 - 0
MAS
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
HKG
4 - 0
LAO
78%
14%
8%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
MAS
1 - 1
HKG
29%
26%
45%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
SGP
1 - 1
HKG
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
HKG
1 - 1
PRK
16%
22%
62%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
TWN
2 - 1
BHR
9%
19%
72%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
BHR
5 - 0
TWN
81%
13%
5%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
BHR
0 - 0
JOR
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
TEP
3 - 0
BHR
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
TKM
1 - 2
BHR
23%
25%
52%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |