Hong Kong vs Bangladesh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
QAT
2 - 0
HKG
86%
11%
4%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
HKG
0 - 0
UZB
8%
15%
77%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
UZB
2 - 2
HKG
87%
10%
4%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
HKG
1 - 2
SGP
38%
25%
38%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
MAC
0 - 0
HKG
19%
20%
61%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Bangladesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
BGD
0 - 4
UZB
4%
11%
85%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
QAT
3 - 0
BGD
90%
8%
2%
|
47 | 80 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
BGD
1 - 4
QAT
4%
15%
80%
|
47 | 80 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2006 |
TJK
6 - 1
BGD
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
PLE
1 - 1
BGD
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |