Hong Kong U23 XI vs Sham Shui Po analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
35.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
8º
10º
10º
12
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2 qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong U23 XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
HON
2 - 1
HKU
72%
16%
12%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HKU
0 - 4
SDI
21%
22%
56%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
KFC
6 - 0
HKU
76%
15%
8%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
HKU
1 - 5
WAR
16%
22%
62%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
WTP
6 - 0
HKU
76%
14%
9%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Sham Shui Po
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 3
KFC
6%
15%
79%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 1
BIU
10%
18%
72%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | +3 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 2
HKU
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SDI
1 - 1
SHA
83%
11%
6%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
WAR
3 - 1
SHA
86%
11%
4%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | -1 |