Hong Kong U23 XI vs Kitchee FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
62.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
8º
10º
10º
45
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2 qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong U23 XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
HKU
0 - 6
EAS
19%
24%
58%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
HKU
2 - 1
RES
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
HKU
1 - 3
SHA
41%
24%
36%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
HON
2 - 1
HKU
72%
16%
12%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HKU
0 - 4
SDI
21%
22%
56%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Kitchee FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WTP
0 - 0
KFC
28%
24%
49%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
KFC
4 - 0
NDT
80%
14%
7%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
KFC
0 - 0
EAS
50%
24%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
RES
1 - 4
KFC
15%
21%
64%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 3
KFC
6%
15%
79%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |