Hong Kong U23 vs Afghanistan U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
UZB
2 - 1
HKG
74%
17%
10%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
HKG
0 - 1
UZB
17%
22%
61%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
TJK
2 - 1
HKG
20%
21%
60%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
TJK
1 - 1
HKG
18%
20%
62%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
UZB
3 - 0
HKG
63%
21%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Afghanistan U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
AFG
0 - 1
JOR
35%
23%
42%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
AFG
0 - 5
UZB
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
HKG
2 - 1
AFG
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
BGD
1 - 0
AFG
17%
22%
62%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | -2 |