HK Sapling vs South China AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
63.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HK Sapling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
HON
1 - 3
CAA
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
HON
0 - 0
TMS
48%
23%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TMS
3 - 0
HON
35%
24%
41%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
KFC
6 - 0
HON
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
PFC
4 - 0
HON
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
South China AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
SCA
3 - 0
YOK
65%
22%
14%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
SCA
0 - 0
SHS
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SHA
0 - 2
SCA
16%
21%
63%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SCA
1 - 2
TMS
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
WTP
1 - 2
SCA
21%
20%
59%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |