Hong Kong FC vs Tuen Mun SA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
34.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TCS
4 - 2
HON
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
HON
0 - 6
WTP
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
HON
0 - 2
SHS
40%
22%
38%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
HON
1 - 2
PFC
23%
20%
57%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
HON
1 - 3
CAA
38%
24%
39%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Tuen Mun SA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
WTP
4 - 0
TMS
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TMS
1 - 0
YOK
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
KFC
1 - 1
TMS
77%
14%
9%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
TMS
0 - 1
SCA
16%
21%
63%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
TMS
0 - 2
PFC
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |