Hong Kong FC vs Southern District analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
61.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
6º
8º
8º
10
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
27 | 48 |
1º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 47 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 46 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 46 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 31 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
10 | 30 |
6º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 21 |
7º
|
42% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 18 |
8º
|
47.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 14 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
HON
2 - 0
NDT
48%
23%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BIU
1 - 0
HON
60%
19%
21%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
EAS
4 - 0
HON
74%
17%
10%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KFC
4 - 0
HON
80%
13%
7%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HON
0 - 2
KWL
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Southern District
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
BIU
1 - 1
SDI
28%
25%
47%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
KWL
2 - 1
SDI
29%
26%
46%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SDI
2 - 0
NDT
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SDI
0 - 2
EAS
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SDI
1 - 1
WTP
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |