Hong Kong FC vs South China AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
59.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
WTP
1 - 2
HON
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2010 |
HON
2 - 4
YOK
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
TMS
1 - 0
HON
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
HON
0 - 3
SHS
50%
23%
28%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2010 |
SCA
2 - 1
HON
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
South China AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
TMS
1 - 4
SCA
17%
18%
64%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
SHS
1 - 3
SCA
25%
23%
52%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
SCA
3 - 4
KFC
53%
24%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2010 |
SCA
2 - 1
SHS
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2010 |
SCA
2 - 1
PFC
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |