Hong Kong FC vs Sham Shui Po analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
19.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
5º
9º
8º
12
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
AFC Champions League 2 qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2024 |
EAS
5 - 0
HON
70%
19%
12%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
BIU
2 - 1
HON
55%
21%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
HON
1 - 0
NDT
49%
23%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
WTP
3 - 0
HON
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HON
0 - 3
WTP
23%
24%
53%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sham Shui Po
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 6
WAR
9%
18%
74%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WAR
1 - 2
SHA
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
RES
0 - 0
SHA
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
WTP
2 - 1
SHA
78%
15%
8%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 3
EAS
8%
18%
74%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |