Hong Kong FC vs Kowloon City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
44.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
6º
8º
8º
17
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
23 | 47 |
1º
|
26% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 47 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 46 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 45 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 31 |
5º
|
40% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 31 |
6º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 21 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
10 | 18 |
8º
|
44% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 14 |
9º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
HON
0 - 2
EAS
16%
22%
62%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
HON
2 - 0
WTP
14%
21%
66%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
HON
1 - 0
SDI
15%
21%
63%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
WTP
2 - 1
HON
76%
16%
9%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
HON
3 - 4
SDI
17%
22%
61%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Kowloon City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
NDT
3 - 1
KWL
22%
23%
54%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
KWL
0 - 5
KFC
22%
23%
55%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
WAR
3 - 1
KWL
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
KWL
2 - 1
SDI
29%
26%
46%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
KWL
2 - 0
BIU
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |