Hong Kong FC vs Kitchee FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
SHS
3 - 1
HON
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
HON
2 - 6
PFC
27%
23%
51%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
HON
2 - 1
TMS
43%
23%
34%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TCS
4 - 2
HON
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
HON
0 - 6
WTP
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Kitchee FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
KFC
7 - 0
TCS
79%
15%
7%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
KFC
3 - 0
TMS
75%
17%
9%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
KFC
2 - 0
SCA
37%
24%
39%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
KFC
1 - 4
PFC
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
KFC
1 - 1
TMS
77%
14%
9%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |