Hong Kong FC vs Hong Kong U23 XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
5º
9º
8º
9
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2 qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
KFC
2 - 0
HON
78%
13%
9%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
HON
1 - 3
KFC
15%
20%
65%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
HON
0 - 5
SDI
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RES
1 - 3
HON
24%
21%
55%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
NDT
2 - 2
HON
32%
23%
45%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong U23 XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HKU
0 - 4
SDI
21%
22%
56%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
KFC
6 - 0
HKU
76%
15%
8%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
HKU
1 - 5
WAR
16%
22%
62%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
WTP
6 - 0
HKU
76%
14%
9%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 2
HKU
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |