Hønefoss vs Sparta Sarpsborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2008 |
HON
2 - 0
ALT
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
HOD
0 - 1
HON
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
HON
1 - 0
ODD
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
NOT
3 - 1
HON
55%
23%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
HON
0 - 4
SOG
46%
24%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Sarpsborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
SPA
2 - 3
ALT
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
NOT
0 - 5
SPA
67%
20%
14%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SPA
2 - 2
SOG
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
KON
2 - 1
SPA
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
SPA
2 - 1
SAN
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |