Hønefoss vs Moss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
53.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ASK
4 - 0
HON
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
HON
0 - 3
ALT
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
GRO
4 - 0
HON
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2018 |
3 - 3
HON
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
HON
4 - 1
NYB
50%
23%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
MOS
1 - 0
MJO
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
FFK
3 - 0
MOS
52%
24%
25%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
MOS
0 - 0
BAR
44%
23%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
ASK
1 - 0
MOS
51%
21%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
MOS
0 - 2
ALT
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |