Hønefoss vs Moss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
18.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
HON
4 - 3
IKS
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
BRY
2 - 2
HON
57%
22%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
HON
3 - 2
SDF
34%
26%
41%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 3
HON
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
HON
0 - 1
RAU
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
MOS
0 - 0
MAN
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
IKS
2 - 0
MOS
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
MOS
2 - 2
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
BRY
4 - 2
MOS
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
MOS
0 - 0
STR
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |