Honduras vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
HND
2 - 0
BLZ
88%
10%
3%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2014 |
HND
0 - 3
SUI
24%
23%
53%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
HND
1 - 2
ECU
26%
24%
50%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
FRA
3 - 0
HND
74%
18%
9%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
ENG
0 - 0
HND
81%
14%
5%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
SLV
1 - 2
GTM
38%
25%
38%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
SLV
0 - 2
ESP
4%
12%
85%
|
71 | 97 | 26 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
SLV
1 - 2
CIV
17%
22%
61%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
USA
5 - 1
SLV
84%
12%
5%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
SLV
1 - 0
HTI
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |