Honduras vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
HND
0 - 0
PER
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
HND
8 - 1
CAN
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
PAN
0 - 0
HND
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
HND
1 - 0
CUB
75%
17%
9%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
CUB
0 - 3
HND
21%
27%
52%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
MEX
2 - 0
SLV
84%
12%
4%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SLV
0 - 1
CRC
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
GUY
2 - 3
SLV
26%
26%
48%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SLV
2 - 2
GUY
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
SLV
0 - 2
JAM
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |