Honduras vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2006 |
VEN
0 - 0
HND
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
CHN
0 - 1
HND
44%
25%
32%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2006 |
ECU
1 - 0
HND
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
JPN
5 - 4
HND
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2005 |
HND
1 - 2
USA
17%
23%
60%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
PAR
3 - 0
SLV
78%
16%
7%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2005 |
CRC
2 - 1
SLV
84%
11%
5%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
SLV
0 - 1
PAN
37%
24%
39%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2004 |
PAN
3 - 0
SLV
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2004 |
JAM
0 - 0
SLV
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |