Honduras vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
GTM
1 - 2
HND
31%
25%
45%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2003 |
HND
1 - 2
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
VEN
2 - 1
HND
31%
24%
46%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
COL
0 - 0
HND
58%
23%
19%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2003 |
HND
1 - 1
PAR
37%
27%
37%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2003 |
SLV
0 - 2
GTM
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
SLV
1 - 0
HND
11%
17%
73%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2003 |
SLV
3 - 0
NIC
80%
13%
7%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2003 |
SLV
0 - 1
CRC
16%
22%
62%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
SLV
2 - 1
PAN
48%
23%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |