Honduras vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2001 |
HND
10 - 2
NIC
85%
11%
4%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2001 |
HND
1 - 2
PAN
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2001 |
JAM
1 - 1
HND
26%
26%
48%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
HND
1 - 2
USA
38%
27%
34%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2001 |
HND
3 - 1
CHI
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2001 |
SLV
2 - 1
PAN
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2001 |
SLV
3 - 0
NIC
76%
15%
9%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2001 |
PAN
1 - 0
SLV
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2001 |
GTM
1 - 1
SLV
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
SLV
2 - 0
JAM
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |