Honduras vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
HND
4 - 0
HTI
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
HND
6 - 0
VIR
93%
6%
1%
|
85 | 5 | 80 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2000 |
JAM
3 - 1
HND
27%
27%
46%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2000 |
SLV
2 - 5
HND
25%
24%
52%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2000 |
HTI
1 - 3
HND
25%
24%
51%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
JAM
1 - 0
SLV
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
HTI
2 - 1
SLV
48%
26%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2000 |
SLV
7 - 1
VIR
89%
9%
2%
|
71 | 5 | 66 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2000 |
SLV
2 - 5
HND
25%
24%
52%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2000 |
SLV
0 - 1
GTM
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |