Honduras vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
HND
1 - 0
KGZ
86%
12%
2%
|
82 | 37 | 45 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1996 |
COL
2 - 1
HND
61%
24%
15%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
HND
0 - 5
BRA
14%
24%
63%
|
82 | 98 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1996 |
CAN
3 - 1
HND
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
HND
3 - 0
GTM
51%
27%
22%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
VEN
1 - 1
CHI
14%
22%
64%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
VEN
0 - 2
URU
19%
28%
53%
|
57 | 90 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
GTM
3 - 0
VEN
69%
20%
12%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1996 |
VEN
0 - 1
ECU
23%
27%
51%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
TTO
0 - 0
VEN
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |