Honduras vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
TTO
2 - 4
HND
38%
25%
38%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
HND
1 - 1
SLV
74%
17%
10%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2001 |
HND
10 - 2
NIC
85%
11%
4%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2001 |
HND
1 - 2
PAN
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2001 |
JAM
1 - 1
HND
26%
26%
48%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
MEX
1 - 2
CRC
69%
19%
12%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2001 |
FRA
4 - 0
MEX
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 100 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2001 |
KOR
2 - 1
MEX
42%
25%
33%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2001 |
MEX
0 - 2
AUS
62%
21%
18%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2001 |
ENG
4 - 0
MEX
66%
22%
12%
|
91 | 98 | 7 | 0 |