Honduras vs Israel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
PAN
2 - 0
HND
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
HND
2 - 2
MEX
21%
24%
56%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
HND
2 - 1
USA
32%
27%
41%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2013 |
CRC
1 - 0
HND
44%
24%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
HND
1 - 0
BLZ
86%
11%
4%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
NIR
0 - 2
ISR
27%
26%
48%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
ISR
3 - 3
POR
23%
25%
52%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
ISR
2 - 1
FIN
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
ISR
1 - 2
BLR
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
ISR
3 - 0
LUX
90%
8%
2%
|
85 | 37 | 48 | 0 |