Honduras vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
BOL
1 - 0
HND
36%
25%
40%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2003 |
HND
0 - 0
MEX
23%
25%
52%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
BRA
2 - 1
HND
93%
5%
2%
|
86 | 98 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
HND
1 - 1
SLV
69%
20%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
GTM
1 - 2
HND
31%
25%
45%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
FIN
3 - 2
CAN
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
WAL
1 - 1
FIN
55%
26%
20%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
AZE
1 - 2
FIN
16%
26%
58%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
DEN
1 - 1
FIN
79%
15%
6%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
FIN
0 - 2
ITA
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 98 | 15 | 0 |