Honduras vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
52.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
HND
2 - 1
GTM
60%
24%
17%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
GTM
2 - 3
HND
29%
26%
45%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
HND
2 - 0
SLV
74%
18%
9%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2006 |
VEN
0 - 0
HND
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
CHN
0 - 1
HND
44%
25%
32%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
SLV
1 - 0
DEN
11%
22%
67%
|
95 | 67 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
USA
3 - 1
DEN
35%
28%
37%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
CZE
1 - 1
DEN
53%
24%
24%
|
95 | 95 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
LIE
0 - 4
DEN
6%
16%
78%
|
95 | 21 | 74 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
DEN
0 - 0
NIR
82%
14%
5%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |