Honduras vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
38.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2001 |
HND
0 - 0
PER
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
CRC
2 - 2
HND
47%
24%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2000 |
VIR
0 - 7
HND
2%
10%
88%
|
86 | 5 | 81 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
HND
1 - 0
JAM
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
HND
5 - 0
SLV
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
CHI
0 - 2
ARG
29%
26%
46%
|
90 | 97 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
ECU
1 - 0
CHI
34%
27%
39%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
CHI
0 - 1
COL
59%
23%
18%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2000 |
CHI
3 - 0
BRA
17%
22%
61%
|
90 | 100 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2000 |
VEN
0 - 2
CHI
22%
25%
53%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | +1 |