Honduras vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2001 |
HND
0 - 1
CRC
48%
24%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2001 |
HND
1 - 1
ECU
51%
26%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2001 |
HND
2 - 3
CRC
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2001 |
HND
3 - 1
MEX
37%
27%
36%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2001 |
TTO
2 - 4
HND
38%
25%
38%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2001 |
BOL
0 - 1
URU
16%
23%
61%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2001 |
BOL
5 - 0
VEN
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2001 |
BOL
3 - 3
ARG
14%
22%
64%
|
82 | 97 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2001 |
COL
2 - 0
BOL
70%
20%
10%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2001 |
JAM
3 - 0
BOL
37%
29%
34%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |