Honduras vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
57.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
HND
1 - 0
COL
36%
27%
36%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2002 |
JPN
3 - 3
HND
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
USA
4 - 0
HND
52%
24%
25%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2002 |
SVN
1 - 5
HND
40%
23%
36%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
MEX
3 - 0
HND
62%
20%
18%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
JPN
0 - 2
ARG
24%
24%
52%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2002 |
SWE
1 - 1
ARG
23%
24%
54%
|
98 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2002 |
ARG
0 - 1
ENG
45%
25%
30%
|
98 | 98 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
ARG
1 - 0
NGA
87%
10%
3%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
GER
0 - 1
ARG
46%
24%
30%
|
98 | 96 | 2 | 0 |