Honduras vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
11%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
3.9%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2004 |
HND
0 - 0
CRC
44%
27%
29%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2004 |
GTM
1 - 0
HND
32%
25%
43%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
HND
1 - 1
CAN
58%
24%
19%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
HND
2 - 2
GTM
57%
24%
18%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
CAN
1 - 1
HND
28%
26%
47%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
VCT
4 - 1
NIC
30%
24%
47%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
NIC
2 - 2
VCT
62%
20%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2004 |
CRC
5 - 1
NIC
93%
5%
1%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
NIC
2 - 0
BMU
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
NIC
2 - 0
BMU
37%
24%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +2 |