Honduras vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2001 |
HND
1 - 2
PAN
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2001 |
JAM
1 - 1
HND
26%
26%
48%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
HND
1 - 2
USA
38%
27%
34%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2001 |
HND
3 - 1
CHI
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2001 |
HND
0 - 0
PER
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2001 |
SLV
3 - 0
NIC
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
PAN
4 - 0
NIC
70%
18%
11%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
NIC
0 - 1
HND
10%
17%
73%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
NIC
0 - 2
PAN
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
HND
3 - 0
NIC
88%
9%
3%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | -1 |