Honduras vs Haiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.8%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
PAN
0 - 2
HND
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
HND
1 - 0
SLV
71%
20%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
USA
2 - 1
HND
65%
21%
15%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
HND
3 - 1
MEX
30%
27%
43%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
TTO
1 - 1
HND
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
HTI
1 - 2
SYR
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2009 |
HTI
1 - 1
PAN
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
JAM
2 - 2
HTI
64%
22%
15%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
PAN
4 - 0
HTI
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
COL
2 - 0
HTI
72%
19%
9%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | 0 |