Honduras vs Haiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2008 |
HND
4 - 0
PRI
93%
6%
1%
|
87 | 44 | 43 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2008 |
VEN
1 - 1
HND
37%
26%
38%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2008 |
HND
2 - 0
BLZ
94%
5%
1%
|
87 | 45 | 42 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
HND
2 - 1
COL
32%
30%
39%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
HND
2 - 0
PAR
35%
29%
36%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
GTM
1 - 0
HTI
53%
25%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
ECU
3 - 1
HTI
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
DMA
0 - 2
HTI
15%
20%
65%
|
75 | 41 | 34 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
DMA
1 - 2
HTI
15%
20%
65%
|
75 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
VEN
1 - 1
HTI
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |