CONCACAF Gold Cup Repechage Final
Global 4-3
Honduras vs French Guiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.4%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.7%
2.9%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
GUF
3 - 1
HND
6%
15%
80%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
VEN
2 - 1
HND
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
HND
2 - 3
VEN
44%
25%
32%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
CHN
0 - 0
HND
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
JPN
6 - 0
HND
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
French Guiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
GUF
3 - 1
HND
6%
15%
80%
|
48 | 81 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
GUF
4 - 1
CUW
57%
23%
21%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
TTO
4 - 2
GUF
84%
12%
4%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
CUB
1 - 1
GUF
73%
18%
9%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BRB
0 - 2
GUF
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +2 |