Honduras vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
HND
0 - 1
SLV
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
HND
2 - 0
BLZ
88%
10%
3%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2014 |
HND
0 - 3
CHE
24%
23%
53%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
HND
1 - 2
ECU
26%
24%
50%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
FRA
3 - 0
HND
74%
18%
9%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
GTM
2 - 1
BLZ
82%
13%
5%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
SLV
1 - 2
GTM
38%
25%
38%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
GTM
1 - 0
CUB
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
GTM
3 - 0
NIC
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
JPN
3 - 0
GTM
77%
16%
7%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | -1 |