Honduras vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
21.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1995 |
HND
1 - 1
CRC
42%
28%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
HND
2 - 0
GTM
50%
28%
22%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1995 |
HND
2 - 0
PAN
59%
25%
16%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1995 |
JAM
1 - 0
HND
19%
25%
56%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
HND
0 - 1
TUR
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1995 |
GTM
1 - 0
SLV
58%
25%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
HND
2 - 0
GTM
50%
28%
22%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1995 |
GTM
1 - 0
PAN
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1992 |
GTM
2 - 2
POL
23%
28%
50%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +3 |
| 07 Jun. 1992 |
GTM
7 - 1
NIC
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |