Honduras vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2009 |
USA
0 - 2
HND
74%
16%
10%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
CAN
0 - 1
HND
19%
22%
59%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
HND
4 - 0
GRD
90%
8%
2%
|
89 | 49 | 40 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
USA
2 - 0
HND
74%
16%
10%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
HND
1 - 0
HTI
82%
13%
5%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2009 |
CRC
1 - 1
MEX
25%
23%
53%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
GLP
1 - 5
CRC
7%
15%
78%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
CRC
2 - 2
CAN
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2009 |
JAM
0 - 1
CRC
24%
23%
54%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
CRC
1 - 2
SLV
84%
12%
4%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |