Honduras vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
33%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 1996 |
PAN
2 - 1
HND
23%
25%
52%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1996 |
CRC
1 - 1
HND
45%
28%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1996 |
HND
0 - 0
TTO
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1996 |
HND
1 - 1
PAN
68%
21%
12%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1996 |
HND
1 - 0
VEN
72%
18%
9%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1996 |
CRC
1 - 1
HND
45%
28%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1996 |
CAN
0 - 1
CRC
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1995 |
SLV
2 - 1
CRC
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1995 |
HND
1 - 1
CRC
42%
28%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
SLV
2 - 1
CRC
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |