Honduras U23 vs Mexico U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
50.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SLV
2 - 3
HND
39%
25%
37%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
HND
2 - 0
TYT
63%
21%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MEX
3 - 0
HND
66%
19%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
HND
3 - 1
PAN
49%
24%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
KOR
1 - 0
HND
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Mexico U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MEX
3 - 1
CAN
69%
18%
13%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
MEX
1 - 0
PAN
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MEX
3 - 0
HND
66%
19%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
TYT
1 - 7
MEX
21%
22%
57%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MEX
2 - 1
SEN
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |