Honduras U23 vs Haiti U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
16.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
3 - 2
HND
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
JPN
0 - 0
HND
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 1
HND
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
HND
2 - 2
MAR
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
HND
1 - 2
MEX
27%
23%
50%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Haiti U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
MEX
5 - 1
HAI
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
CAN
1 - 2
HAI
56%
22%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
HAI
0 - 1
GTM
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |