Honduras Progreso vs Social Sol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
HNP
1 - 0
CON
52%
23%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MOT
0 - 0
HNP
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 0
HNP
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
HNP
1 - 0
VID
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
HNP
2 - 1
PUM
20%
22%
59%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Social Sol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SOC
1 - 2
OLI
17%
27%
55%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
SOC
0 - 1
MAR
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
JUT
3 - 1
SOC
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SOC
1 - 1
RSO
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
MOT
1 - 0
SOC
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |